Know the Gulf. Catch the good beach days.

Vacation Planner

Choose a future trip window. The planner compares those calendar dates with every available historical year, using a ±7-day seasonal window to increase sample size without pretending that a short archive provides climatology.

What this means for a tourist

Year × month hazard heatmap

Percent of observed days in each month that reached single red or double red. Empty cells mean no data, not “safe.”

Explore an exact historical date

Modeling design

The training table uses red-or-worse as the research outcome and environmental features such as wind, gusts, wave height, wave period, swell, tide range and season. Validation is time-aware rather than random so future records are not leaked backward into training folds. A monthly-climatology baseline and a one-day persistence baseline are retained for comparison.

Open data and provenance

Your original ALERTBAY/PCBFLAGS archive remains preserved as the historical source. New observations are appended by automation rather than rewriting those records. Each environmental row is labeled provisional or finalized, and only finalized rows enter the modeling table.